第1个回答 2009-08-23
U.S. sub-loan crisis of the "butterfly effect" has been extended to the world, the United States, suffered heavy losses in Europe, and even vigorous China, Russia, India, Brazil "BRIC" has also been a lot of impact. Would like to visit this summer with a real big brother, he also said their own businesses more cash to prepare for winter, and spring and the south bank of the Green River when a number of bargains can be picked up. A couple of days ago and the United States, friends, Chinese friends pay attention to because of the habit of savings, life has not been significantly affected, but also the general cost-saving plans to spend the winter.
The economic crisis shows that people choose for each situation is different, big brothers are thinking about is how to make use of their own development and growth of the winter, ordinary people think of is how this once-in security through the economic crisis. China's tourism business in this thinking?
This time the tourism industry there are many friends and me and asked me in 2009 on China's tourism market to determine, based on China's tourism industry for so many years of research, I think "the nest is overturned,焉有survive", China Tourism industry will certainly be larger, but domestic tourism, outbound tourism, the impact入境游is not the same as, the largest impact is入境游. Make a brief analysis of the following:
1, domestic travel will be subject to a certain degree of impact, tourism is a problem of food and clothing to meet the spiritual needs after the product will be in the basic livelihood of the economic crisis will certainly affect the situation, we must first of all to reduce consumption expenditure is a luxury and the spirit of cultural consumption, so travel agents enterprise would be a clear sense of the market to shrink in 2009, the impact on domestic travel and travel distance can be divided into three different levels:
(1) high-end domestic market: domestic travel in the most affected in Tibet, Xinjiang, these high-end domestic product, the higher the price of these products, the customer is the official market, the main customers, the ordinary people at their own expense, the two places fewer restrictions if the introduction of tourism-related consumer policy meeting, then in Xinjiang, Tibet, the impact would be more tourism, and the 2008 Olympic Games from the crowding-out effect can also see this point clearly;
(2) The domestic tourism market Hotline: Hainan, Yunnan, Guilin, Beijing, East China by the impact of these hotlines are not such as Xinjiang, Tibet, because the higher the visibility of these destinations, tourism reception system has been more mature, tourism products, prices intuitive is not high, generally between 1000-3000 yuan, the general public in general can accept this offer, and there was no disruption of work, life and stability of civil servants, teachers and the general white-collar groups will implement their own travel and leisure scheme, the purpose of these hot spots and no doubt their first choice;
(3) domestic short-haul travel market: the economic crisis situation, as a result of domestic short-haul travel time, low consumption, the abolition of long-distance travel will become a substitute for leisure scheme, and therefore the performance of the weekend as the main form of travel short distance travel will become the economic crisis and the Chinese beneficiaries of the reform of the system of holidays, the tourist attractions around the major cities and resorts in 2009 will continue to flow waves, close to the consumer market has become the biggest advantage of these places had.
2, outbound tourism market: as a result of the continued appreciation of the renminbi and the world's major currencies, the relative depreciation of the purchasing power of the renminbi fully advantage of the show, although the economic crisis affecting the lives of ordinary people, but for those who can afford to leave the affluent class, the impact of relatively small, the RMB appreciation will encourage them to have the impulse to travel abroad, so the impact on outbound tourism may also be slightly less than domestic travel, the country is not a prerequisite for introduction of relevant policies, as has been the official travel outbound tourism business inspection of the main force; South-East Asia, Japan, South Korea these destinations as a result of lower product prices intuitive,
The impact may be more small point, Europe, the United States by the effects of travel may be larger.
3,入境游market: As the magnitude of the financial crisis is too great, and the 1998 financial crisis in Southeast Asia is quite different, so the impact on the market入境游will be very large, it can be predicted to come from in Europe, the United States and other developed areas of the tourists will be significantly reduced, from Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, tourists will be dropped, and only from Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao tourists will not be greatly affected.
In response to financial crisis, China National Tourism Administration has issued a refund to the travel agency sector initiatives质保金the industry have also taken corresponding measures to deal with, a friend of mine asked the sars crisis and the impact of which more? There is no doubt that the financial crisis on the impact of China's tourism industry should certainly be much bigger than SARS, this time the recovery rate of the tourism market will also show a trend of slow recovery depends largely on China's economy and the whole environment of the world economy recovery situation. God Bless China, China is the financial crisis affected the smallest one of the countries
Hope that the central economic stimulus measures can play a better role, by the financial crisis, China's economy to achieve industrial upgrading and the overall transformation of the original bid farewell to the kind of "high input, high pollution, high energy consumption, low output" can not be sustainable development model, China's focus on the establishment of the broad masses of people covered by social security and health care system so that the lifting of the people to worry about, and dare to come up with more money for tourism and other spiritual and cultural consumption. If so, it would be a blessing for the Chinese common people, a blessing for China's tourism industry